Count | Frequency | Zone | Out of Zone | Strike odds | Ball odds | Strike overall odds | Ball overall odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0-0 | 1.000 | 95745 | 89033 | .518 | .482 | .518 | .482 |
0-1 | .518 | 39460 | 53598 | .424 | .576 | .220 | .298 |
0-2 | .220 | 14985 | 33022 | .312 | .688 | .069 | .151 |
1-0 | .482 | 37702 | 33833 | .527 | .473 | .254 | .228 |
1-1 | .552 | 35402 | 38838 | .477 | .523 | .263 | .289 |
1-2 | .415 | 25414 | 44600 | .363 | .637 | .150 | .264 |
2-0 | .228 | 13872 | 10640 | .566 | .434 | .129 | .099 |
2-1 | .418 | 21098 | 17739 | .543 | .457 | .227 | .191 |
2-2 | .491 | 37457 | 33526 | .528 | .472 | .259 | .232 |
3-0 | .099 | 4573 | 2930 | .609 | .391 | .060 | .039 |
3-1 | .251 | 9652 | 6289 | .605 | .395 | .152 | .099 |
3-2 | .384 | 21163 | 16146 | .567 | .433 | .218 | .166 |
1--, 0 out | 12-, 0 out | 1-3, 0 out | 123, 0 out | 1--, 1 out | 12-, 1 out | 1-3, 1 out | 123, 1 out | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total 2019 | 9974 | 2574 | 798 | 664 | 12158 | 2923 | 1864 | 1643 |
Percent of total PA | .053 | .014 | .004 | .004 | .065 | .016 | .010 | .009 |
In 733 PA | 39 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Total 2019 GIDP | 996 | 248 | 53 | 65 | 1326 | 434 | 185 | 159 |
GIDP Percentage | .010 | .096 | .066 | .098 | .109 | .148 | .099 | .097 |
In 733 PA | 3.9 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
GIDP Value | .411 | .565 | .777 | .961 | .224 | .429 | .478 | .752 |
Final Value | 1.608 | .551 | .162 | .245 | 1.167 | .732 | .348 | .470 |
Innings | Hits/9 | Runs/9 | |
---|---|---|---|
Lifetime statistics | 5532* | 2.32 | 1.11 |
Since turning off PCI | 128 | 7.31 | 3.86 |
“The way of the future”- Howard Hughes, The Aviator
Position | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | Jose Trevino | Jose Trevino | Jose Trevino | Sam Huff | Sam Huff | Sam Huff |
1B | Nate Lowe | Nate Lowe | Nate Lowe | Nate Lowe | Nate Lowe | Nate Lowe |
2B | Nick Solak | Nick Solak | Nick Solak | Nick Solak | Nick Solak | Maximo Acosta |
3B | Elvis Andrus | Josh Jung | Josh Jung | Josh Jung | Josh Jung | Josh Jung |
SS | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Luisangel Acuña | Luisangel Acuña | Luisangel Acuña |
LF | David Dahl | David Dahl | David Dahl | Bayron Lora | Bayron Lora | Bayron Lora |
CF | Leodys Taveras | Leodys Taveras | Leodys Taveras | Leodys Taveras | Leodys Taveras | Leodys Taveras |
RF | Joey Gallo | Joey Gallo | Steele Walker | Steele Walker | Steele Walker | Steele Walker |
DH | Willie Calhoun | Willie Calhoun | Willie Calhoun | Willie Calhoun | Sherten Apostel | Sherten Apostel |
Position | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SP1 | Dane Dunning | Dane Dunning | Dane Dunning | Dane Dunning | Dane Dunning | Dane Dunning |
SP2 | Kyle Cody | Kyle Cody | Kyle Cody | Kyle Cody | Kyle Cody | Kyle Cody |
SP3 | Kyle Gibson | Kyle Gibson | Cole Winn | Cole Winn | Cole Winn | Cole Winn |
SP4 | Kohei Arihara | Kohei Arihara | Kolby Allard | Kolby Allard | Kolby Allard | Hans Crouse |
SP5 | Jordan Lyles | Brock Burke | Brock Burke | Brock Burke | Brock Burke | Brock Burke |
RP | Demarcus Evans | Demarcus Evans | Demarcus Evans | Demarcus Evans | Demarcus Evans | Demarcus Evans |
RP | Joe Palumbo | Joe Palumbo | Joe Palumbo | Joe Palumbo | Joe Palumbo | Kelvin Gonzalez |
RP | Jimmy Herget | Joe Barlow | Joe Barlow | Joe Barlow | Joe Barlow | Joe Barlow |
RP | Brett Martin | Brett Martin | Brett Martin | Brett Martin | Brett Martin | Fernery Ozuna |
RP | Joely Rodriguez | Joely Rodriguez | Taylor Hearn | Taylor Hearn | Taylor Hearn | Dylan MacLean |
RP | Wes Benjamin | Wes Benjamin | Wes Benjamin | Wes Benjamin | Wes Benjamin | Wes Benjamin |
RP | Jonathan Hernandez | Jonathan Hernandez | Jonathan Hernandez | Jonathan Hernandez | Ronny Henriquez | Ronny Henriquez |
RP | Jose Leclerc | Jose Leclerc | Jose Leclerc | Jose Leclerc | Alex Speas | Alex Speas |
WAR = (Batting Runs + Base Running Runs +Fielding Runs + Positional Adjustment + League Adjustment +Replacement Runs) / (Runs Per Win)*note for this calculation we won't use replacement runs or league adjustment as they'll remain constants (and yea, I'm using DRS (using totals at the respective positions since 2018 averaged over 150 games), rather than DEF).
OFF (ZiPs 2021) | UZ150 | |
---|---|---|
2B: McNeil | Constant (C) | 0.2 |
3B: Davis | 2.3 | -3.9 |
OFF | UZ150 | |
---|---|---|
2B: Wong | -2.2 | 7.7 |
3B: McNeil | Constant | 11.1 (small sample size, so I'll instead use ~5 to be fair) |
Infield Summary: The assumption here is that the team can pick up 1.1 wins plugging in Kolton Wong's defense (and doesn't count the benefit of having Davis on the bench)The Outfield
OFF (ZiPS 2021) | UZ150 | |
---|---|---|
CF: Nimmo | Constant (C) | -12.5 |
LF: Smith | 8.1 | -25 (small, but yuck, sample size - to be fair lets realistically knock it to -15) |
OFF (ZiPS) | UZ150 | |
---|---|---|
CF: Kiermaier | -7.3 | 15.8 |
LF: Nimmo | Constant | -1.5 |
Ouftfield Summary: 2.6 wins without factoring any added Dom ABs (but I know, realistically if Dom is on the team you gotta find him ABs)Those defensive runs saved certainly pass the eye-test ... and offensively the Mets wouldn't lose Dom or Davis's bats.
It's 1963, year nine of Salt Lake City Baseball, where we take an expansion team, the small budget Salt Lake City Alpines of the United Baseball Association, and help them become a contending team. We have finally finished a season with a winning record, and we're excited to see what comes next. We're battling an extremely small budget and various house rules that make this very challenging, along with a draft lottery system that has screwed us almost every step of the way. This year, we start to deal with the problems that come with a good team - paying players, lower draft picks - but it's exciting to have a winning team on the field. submitted by onemanfivetools to OOTP [link] [comments] 1962 RecapHere's full write-up's of previous seasons: 1955, 1956, 1957, 1958, 1959, 1960, 1961, 1962We finished the 1962 season with an 86-76 record, but we still had a -12 run differential. Not much, but not where we want to be. We scored four runs per game, and allowing four runs per game. Here's a look at our individual performances, as well as our team rankings and stats: 1962 Hitting Stats 1962 Pitching Stats 1962 Team Stats and Rankings The OffseasonOne of the crazy things about having such a young team is I have ZERO guaranteed contracts for the 1963 season, and with what I think I'm going to do this offseason, I actually may have some money to spend on free agents to supplement this group of young players. But - we can't truly plan until we know what we're allowed to do, and for this season, we will allow ourselves three 50+ free agents, and three trades. I can work with that!Our first order of business is a team option we have on RP Vinny Alvarez. While his first season with us wasn't great, he bounced back in 1962 with a 3.84 FIP, and ERA right in line with it, and a decent strikeout rate. However, he tore the flexor tendon in his elbow in July and will be out for another 7-8 months. That's May or June, and I don't want to be spending money on a guy that can only help us for two-thirds of a season. His option is declined, and we save ourselves about $1.9M after paying his buyout. Next, let's take a look at our pending free agents. There's a lot of them - six players, a few of them who were big names for us, are out of contract. Let's take a look: RP Tom Balthazor: He's a lefty reliever who's thrown nearly 200 innings in the last two years since coming over in a trade. Good strikeout rate that's gone up, bad home run rate. He'll stay for cheap - around $1.4M, but for three years. I offer two plus a team option on the third. He's honestly not great, but I've had enough relievers come in and completely suck to happily accept the average ones. C Tony Calderon: Calederon was a Rule-5 pick last year. His age is catching up to him and his performance is cratering, and even his defensive ability isn't there anymore. CF Humberto Hernandez: We signed Hernandez at the beginning of last year to do one job - play CF against LHP and crush them. He didn't do that, and he's 35 now, so I don't see things going any better. CF Israel Solis: Solis came on to be an elite defender. We didn't need him to hit, but he was actually okay with the bat, with a .313 OBP. He has no power to speak of, and he did lose a step in the outfield now that he's 31. SP Rob White: Last, but certainly not least, White was our first major trade where we bought. He was a young pitcher at the same, and we gave up a guy who's led the league in home runs the last three years. Early on, White was not good, and constantly injured. But as he came back from injury, he flashed brilliance. Now in two relatively full seasons to end his time here, he's gone back to a somewhat below average pitcher as his stuff has fallen off. He'll head somewhere else, and it's a disappointing end for him. Following that, we take a look at our arbitration class. This year, there's nine players. The first player I want to deal with is SS Javier Umana. For reference, this guy is an elite defender, with a +25 ZR in 1961, and more than a +22 ZR last year. This has led him to have high WAR totals (6.1 in '61, 3.6 in '62) and in turn, driven his arbitration price up. We dealt with it last year, but he wants $9.5M. I like this guy a lot, but his 99 wRC+ two years ago made me pay up. Last year, it fell to 75, and we have SS Cesar Delvecchio, another great defensive player who can also hit, ready to take over. We make a trade, sending Umana to Baltimore for a reliever with elite stuff. The movement and control leave a bit to be desired, but most importantly, we get that $9.5M we would have been paying Umana off of our books. That gives us two more trades we can make. OF Seth Thomas, a LHB who had 3 WAR his first season here, 2.1 two years ago, and dropped into negative territory last year, gets non-tendered - I really don't think we'll have a spot for him but the drop in production forces our hand too. RP Dan DeKing, who we had high hopes for in the pen, is also out after a 7.56 FIP campaign. RP Scott Herring, who's been great for us in the pen, SP Tyler Ledbetter, and SP Kirk all get deals, as does RP Eric Christiansen. OF Brian Danielson, a low power gap hitter with speed, also gets a new contract as well. As I sim forward towards the free agency filing day, we learn that Umana AND Solis both win the Golden Glove award. Both made a huge contribution to our overall run prevention, so we'll need to make sure we don't regress there - While Delvecchio should be great on defense,+20 ZR is not easy. And in center field, well, I'm not sure who are center fielder is yet, exactly. Free agency arrives - we have the three 50+ FA we can sign, but we also have two more trades available to us. After deciding on our budget allocations, we have around $13M or so available to us. Before we even dive in to free agency, we make another trade, our second of three allowed, this time moving our most recent draft pick, SP Justin Teal, along with 2B Oscar Maciel to Boston for 23-year-old OF Barend Vis, a LHB with great power and eye, along with an elite arm to play RF. We really needed a lefty in our lineup, and Vis looks like he could be a high power, high strikeout guy, but on our team I think we can afford that with the generally higher contact players we have otherwise. It should be noted that Vis has played a grand total of ONE major-league game. So he's young and unproven. Maciel has been our starting 2B for three seasons, and offensively he's been solid, though he took a dip last season. His defense, on the other hand, has been terrible, with -17 ZR in his two full seasons at the position. While this trade fills a hole in the outfield, we know have an open spot at 2B. We did have to include our recent first-round pick Teal, but since signing him, his ratings, specifically control, have dropped. While OSA still likes him overall, the ratings have been declining on both ends, and I want to capitalize on his value now before they drop even more. Of course, he could end up winning a Pitcher of the Year award in a few years, too. But for now, we're excited to get Vis and his power and eye combination into the lineup. To fill in our spot at 2B, we sign SS Carlos Flores, who could actually end up at shortstop, while Delvecchio moves to 2B. We'll see - but Flores is a switch-hitting international free agent out of Cuba. It's his age 27 season, and while he won't hit for power at all he should be able to avoid being a black hole in our lineup until some better players are available. We do have a solid hitting infielder at AAA, 2B Mario Gallegos, but his defense isn't good and he should probably play at 1B more often than not. As we continue on towards spring training, other than a minor-league free agent catcher, that's all we do. Flores was rated at 45, so we still have all three of our 50+ free agent signings available. We went hard after a really solid reliever, but Brooklyn started raising their deal to twice his asking price, so we had to bow out. During spring ball, I'll continue looking for a deal for a reliever and possibly a utility bat, but I do feel good about where we're at right now. I'll keep the trade in my back pocket until the deadline. SP Bill Roth, our 80-rated prospect, injures himself in spring training, and his injury history is now a laundry list of elbow and shoulder issues. This one puts him out for six weeks, but I'm starting to wonder if trading him before he blows out his arm is what I should do. I've already traded away a SP prospect this offseason though, and he just looks so good when he's not hurt. We'll keep this in mind. SP Bill Roth's Injury History Spring training ends, and we finish with a 13-17 record. OF Barend Vis will start the season in AAA and play there for a few weeks so we can gain an extra year of service time. Otherwise, the squad is ready to go. Opening DayHere's a quick blurb about our some major players on our roster. To start, here's what our every day lineup looks like:2B Cesar Delvecchio: Great up the middle defensively, had a great start to his career last season with a .377 OBP in 239 PA's. Will play 2B for now, but has the skills to play a very high level at SS. RF Devon Walter: Led the league in doubles the last two seasons. Hit 11 HR two seasons ago, but just two last year. Would love some more power but the consistency in OBP is wonderful. LF Brian Danielson: Very little power, but like Walter, consistent hitting ability for average. Stole 32 bases last year as well. 1B Ethan Darden: Big lefty power bat that has never been able to consistently hit for average, but has hit 47 HR over the last two seasons. 3B Nick Lloyd: Solid defender with some power, but 91 wRC+. No guarantee he stays in the starting lineup, but right now the defense is keeping him there. CF Jose Ramirez: LHB with great range, is mostly here for the defense and to allow our super-utility man to roam around to different positions throughout the week. Only 25, so we'll see what we can get out of him. SS Carlos Flores: International FA from Cuba, so we're not entirely sure what we're going to get from him. But the defense looks really good, so as long as he's not terrible at the plate he should stay here. Switch-hitter as well, which is great. C Juan Lopez: Here for the catcher ability, but it's elite. He hit eight HR last year, which I'll take. Then we have our utility guy who will play a ton, and our 1B that will be in the lineup against LHP: Utility: Bonus player for you - IF/OF Danny Guererro, our best player, 5.8 WAR last year and started games at every position outside of pitcher and catcher. In his first full season last year he slashed ..324/.367/.500, and he will play five or six times a week across all positions. 1B Platoon: Another notable addition here who will be playing against LHP is 1B/3B Chris Jones, a former first-round pick who will probably take over at 3B eventually, but right now we'll let him play against LHP and work his way into the lineup slowly. As for our pitching staff: SP Jesse Anderson: Struggled in his first two years, but did great last season with a 3.55 FIP in 27 starts. SP Stephane Gonnet: RHP screwballer who also took a step forward last year. Great stuff, good control, but gave up 20 HR last year. SP Tyler Ledbetter: Four straight years of sub 4.00 ERA. 30+ starts the last three seasons. RP Scott Padilla: A true left killer out of the bullpen, Padilla can get guys out on both sides of the plate, finishing with a 2.69 FIP. RP Pete Zizak: Pitched in 30 games last year as a rookie with a 1.67 ERA. FIP was significantly higher, but the ratings look good and I think he will be a solid contributor. Okay - here we go. We open the season at home against the Chicago Packers, and we win 5-1, as our new shortstop Flores goes three for three with a double, triple and two runs driven in. As the month continues, we lose both of our catchers to injury, and call up C Jose Beltran: C Jose Beltran We picked up Beltran in a trade and he's been working his way up slowly through the minors - but now that he's here, he's crushing the ball, putting up a wRC+ of 215. While the injuries heal, one of those catchers heads back to AAA. It looks like Beltran is here to stay. April ends, and we're 12-15 - not where we want to be, but we did have a seven game losing streak in there that hopefully was a freak occurrence. Halfway through May, we call up OF Barend Vis, who we acquired in the offseason. He'll play against RHP, but man - it's getting tough to find playing time for some of these guys, but I'm trying to do a good job of rotating guys in, and having the versatility of someone like Guerrero is super helpful. As we get towards the end of May, we're 23-26. RP Jordan Padilla, our best reliever, who's got 13 K/9 and a 0 ERA so far, is out for the year, but OF Barend Vis is doing well so far after getting called up, slashing .280/.379/.520 with a wRC+ of 163. SP Bill Roth gets injured AGAIN on his rehab stint, and I'm really starting to lean towards getting some kind of value for him now. On June 3rd, we make a blockbuster trade, giving up on the elite potential of Roth to get two solid starters back from a rebuilding team. Roth, our 3B Nick Lloyd, a decent SP prospect, and two other minor pieces go to the Georgia Peaches. In return we get SP Joe Schweitzer and SP Nelson Stefaneschi. SP Joe Schweitzer SP Nelson Stefaneschi There were a couple iterations of this deal that also included a very good reliever, but those involved 1B/3B Chris Jones, who right now is a platoon 1B - it felt easy to move him, but in the end I decided that moving the current starting 3B Lloyd (who, to be frank, is not having a great year) and have Jones take over at first. Removing Jones from the deal did not allow us to get the reliever, but we were okay with the additional assets we sent to make a deal for the two starters. It will be very tough to watch Roth try to get things going with another team. I was so excited for him - but realistically the injuries have been too much and if we're trying to win, I think this was the right move. SP Bill Roth Amateur DraftThat big trade brings is right into the draft, and this is the first year that we don't have a pick in the first half of the draft, which means no lottery pick for us. We'll pick at #14 this year, and I'll continue looking for guys who can quickly come up and help us, but I also need to start thinking about the next core of guys, because I can almost assuredly say that once this core I have now hits their expensive arbitration years, they'll be traded. I need a constant flow of players to make this work.Vancouver, who had the highest odds of getting the first overall pick, do indeed get the first overall pick in the lottery, and they go with a college third-baseman out of Clemson with a ton of power and a canon for an arm. The top of the draft does seem to have a lot more premium talent this year - I don't see a single relief pitcher at the top when looking at potential ratings. Hopefully, one of these guys can fall to me at #14. Our pick comes, and while there is an interesting shortstop, SS Josh Ulrich, available, his below average contact tool and lack of elite range turns me off a bit. There's two arms available, SP Neil Harris and SP Eric Franks. I go with Harris, a 22-year-old college junior with a four pitch mix, three of which look good, and good stuff overall. SP Neil Harris, taken at 1(14) in the 1963 Amateur Draft We take another starter, this time a 17-year-old high-school LHP, SP Chris Bradford. He's young, but has the makings of an average starter and some bumps in potential in any category along the way would do him wonders. Mid-SeasonWe get through June, and start the second half of the season just under .500 with a record of 40-41, still within striking distance of the St. Louis Lions at six games back. I can't make any more trades, so any reinforcements are going to have to come from within. We do make a couple IFA signings, an 18-year-old OF and a 16-year-old 2B from the Dominican Republic.Two of our players are named to the Federal League All-Star team. C Jose Beltran, who has 15 HR and a .338 OBP, as well 3B Chris Jones, who's slashing .331/.370/.502 so far this season. Checking in on SP Bill Roth, he is out with another shoulder injury for the next five months. I think we made the right decision. July ends up being a difficult month overall, as we drop to 50-57, and are now 10 GB of St. Louis. While our offense has been very good, our pitching has not. And our defense, surprisingly, hasn't been great either. We did lose our star player IF/OF Danny Guerrero for three weeks, but the season as a whole hasn't been what I expected. Literally, right after writing this, we go on a nine game winning streak, which was capped off by a 14-inning affair against Brooklyn. The streak gets us back within striking distance - we're 59-60, and just three games back with San Francisco also in our way. As August comes to a close, we have a two-game series against St. Louis that we sweep, and when we hit September 1st, the club is 71-64, and four games back. We went 21-7 in August. While we make our usual call-ups of a few AAA guys who are good, but maybe don't have the defensive skills required or something along those lines, we also call up SP Seon-Keun Lee, a former international signing that has three games of experience in AA, but he's our best pitching prospect, and that's where we need help. September 17-19th is circled on our calendar. We play a three-game series against St. Louis. We need to make sure we do well these first two weeks to make sure that series matters. We're currently tied with San Francisco, and we play them in a four-game series to finish the year. Let's do this. Playoff PushThings don't start well. We split our first four games, but we lose Guerrero again, and while he'd be back for the playoffs, he'll likely miss the rest of the regular season. But the 17th comes, and we're just 1.5GB of St. Louis, while San Francisco is an even 1GB. We've set up our rotation perfectly to have the top of our rotation for this series.Game one was tight - I actually played this one out. We win 2-1, and they had the tying run on in the 9th but we got out of it. It was an absolute gem by SP Jesse Anderson, who's been my ace all year. 31 starts, 2.27 ERA. He was a 12th-round pick in 1958 and he's come a long way. Game two was also tight - we were up 1-0 for most of the game, and in the 7th St. Louis tied it up. In the 8th, a walk and three hits later, we were up 3-1. It stayed that way, and we're now IN FIRST PLACE! SP Nelson Stefaneschi, who we picked up in that Roth trade, was great, giving up the one run and just four hits. He has a 2.64 FIP since coming over. San Francisco won their game, so we are now 1/2 game ahead of both St. Louis and San Francisco. In game three, our bullpen blew it. We were up 2-1 in the 9th, and then an a few hits and an error let in four runs, For a team that has focused so much on defense, it's a tough way to lose. Still, we took of three, so progress was made and we're a half-game out with ten to play. Chicago comes to Salt Lake City, and we take two of three, putting us back at the top of the Federal League West standings. We head to New Orleans, who've lost seven games in row, but let them win two before we avoid the sweep, and now we're tied for first. San Francisco has lost 8 of their last 10 games, and while they're just two games back, they have just a 1.9% chance of making the playoffs, and now we play them in a four-game series, while St. Louis takes on the last-place Chicago Packers. We control our own destiny here. In game one, we play knowing that St. Louis has lost their game against Chicago. We take an early lead, but San Francisco comes back to tie it, and in the top of 8th, in a 4-4 game, OF Barend Vis comes to the plate and smashes an opposite field home run to take the lead! 21-year-old call up P Seon-keun Lee stays in for the 9th and shuts the door, and we're back in first place with a one game lead. We thought about going back to the top of our rotation on short rest, but then made the decision to use an opener followed by a some bullpen arms and just mix and match our way through the game, and it pays off, as we now head into the second game of the series with our ace SP Jesse Anderson on full rest. The second game of the series - all I can say is holy shit. I wish I was live streaming it. My baby woke up and I was holding her while playing this one out so I wasn't able to write as the game unfolded. I'll just leave this here: Salt Lake City at San Francisco, Sep. 27, 1963 I played this one out and it was just insane - the amount of times they had runners in scoring position with less than two outs was wild. They had 17 runners left on base, and we had to use eight pitchers, including one of our starters to close out the game. Absolutely insane. San Francisco has lost three in a row, and are now eliminated from the postseason. So it's down to us and St. Louis. We're up by one, with two games to go. Because we had to dip into our rotation, we call up SP John Foreman, a journeyman who we drafted in the 8th round of the 1957 draft. He's had one cup of coffee in Salt Lake City last year but has otherwise spent the last four seasons in AAA waiting for this moment. SP John Foreman We get our leadoff man on base to start the 1st inning, but nothing comes of it, and Foreman takes the mound. Three up, three down on thirteen pitches. Foreman comes out in the bottom of the 2nd, and it's another one-two-three inning, and then comes up to bat in the top of the 3rd, and he rips a double down the line, making it 2nd and 3rd with 1 out. Both runners come in to score, and we head into the bottom of the 3rd with a 2-0 lead. Foreman gives up a seeing-eye single, but no damage is done. In the bottom of the 4th, San Francisco strings three singles together, and a run scored. I'd love to get Foreman through the 5th, but we'll use a quick hook if we need to. The rest of the inning is quick and painless, and we're up 2-1 going into the top of the 5th. I take a look at the St. Louis game - they won, so we really need to win to keep the pressure on them. The bottom of the 5th comes, and it's three up, three down again. Foreman has given us exactly what we needed, and while our bullpen is totally gassed after last night's game, the 6th inning is dangerous, with their 2-3-4 hitters up, two of them being power lefties, so we bring in our one LHP who is available, and we'll try our best to get through the rest of the game unscathed. No issues in the 6th, and we move into the final third of the game. With two outs in the bottom of the 7th, after a single and a stolen base, San Francisco ties up the game with another single up the middle. We're really struggling to get through this game with our bullpen. But in the top of the 8th, we pinch hit for our pitcher in the leadoff spot, and it's a line drive into left for a single, and then 2B Cesar Delvecchio comes to the plate and blasts one off the wall for a triple, driving in a run, and we're back in the lead, 3-2. In the back of my mind though, I know that San Francisco has the top of their lineup coming up. We need to get this guy in from third. With one out, we get the job done, as 3B Chris Jones hits one hard up the middle. It puts us up 4-2, and we head into the bottom of the 8th. We bring in RP Eric Christiansen, who's thrown 71 solid innings this year with a 3.46 FIP. They get their leadoff man on, and now we'll face three dangerous left-handed batters without a lefty to counter with. Another single, and now the tying run is on first. A lazy fly ball to CF. One out. But it's followed by a wild pitch, and now both runners are in scoring position. This opens up first base, though, and while I don't intentionally walk the power hitting lefty, I have the pitcher be careful, and a groundball gets hit to 2B Cesar Delvecchio, who boots it. A runner scores, we're now up 4-3, and runners are at the corners with one out. They pinch hit with another lefty, and he walks - we weren't treading carefully with him. Another walk, and it's a tie game. With the bases still loaded, we get a groundball. We can't turn two, and we're now down 5-4. Finally, we get out of the inning. We have to tie the game here in the 9th. Strikeout. Strikeout. Strikeout. The game is over, and we're now back to a tie in the Federal League West. We head into the final game of the season. A win, and we're either in the playoffs, or get to play St. Louis in a tiebreaker. We have our #2 pitcher on the mount, a fully rested SP Joe Schweitzer. St. Louis, who played before us, wins their game, so this game is a must-win to get us to a one-game playoff. We take an early 2-0 lead, but in the bottom of the 5th, the Peanuts go deep and tie the game with a two-run homer. We load the bases in the 6th, and score on a wild pitch, making it 3-2, but we do pinch hit for Schweitzer and now we have to turn things over to our bullpen, and we know how that worked out last game. We get a big break in the bottom of the 6th, when there's a man on second base and a single gets hit up the middle. CF Jose Ramirez guns out the runner at the plate, and we keep our 3-2 lead. In the 8th, still up 3-2, they get their leadoff runner on but we hold them. We go to the 9th, and we can't get an insurance run. P Seon-keun Lee comes in to close out the game. He's been here before, and we're going to trust him to do it again. Their leadoff man smokes one into left field for a single, and then next batter does the same into center. First and second, but now their 7-8-9 hitters are due up. Our 1B Ethan Darden makes a diving catch to prevent a hit. One out. Huge strikeout. Two outs. Groundball to the shortstop. Game over. While we stumbled a bit at the end here, our season can be considered nothing but a success no matter what happens next. Salt Lake City Alpines at St. Louis Lions. Tiebreaker game. Winner moves on, loser goes home. Here we go. We turn to SP Kirk Baker. He's 9-9 on the year, with a FIP of 3.59. But everyone is here and ready to go. I've got most of my pen available, SP Jesse Anderson can pitch, as can SP Nelson Stefaneschi. We've got some tired hitters, too, but they're playing. We're going up against a tough LHP, SP Adam Morris, 16-7 with a 3.02 FIP and over nine K/9. This will be a challenge, for sure, and we're going to have to keep them at bay while scraping a few runs across. Our first three batters hit singles, and before there's an out, we're up 1-0. We score again in the 2nd on a hit by 3B Chris Jones, and we're up 2-0. That doesn't last long, as St. Louis ties the game in the 3rd with a two-run bomb. A walk and two singles later, the Lions are in the lead, 3-2. In the bottom of the 5th, St. Louis hits another home run, taking a 4-2 lead. Baker comes out of the game. In the top of the 6th, we get our first two runners on, and then 3B Chris Jones drives a run to make it 4-3, but we end the inning leaving the bases loaded. After escaping a bases-loaded jam in the bottom of the 7th, the top of the 8th starts well, as we get runners on first and third with one out, and C Jose Beltran comes to the plate. He strikes out looking on a full count, and the inning comes down to rookie SS Carlos Flores. It feels like every single at-bat from this guy has been a hit or a walk in these games I'm playing out, but he grounds out, and the inning is over. The bottom of the 8th is a one-two-three inning, and we go to the 9th down 4-3. Leading off is 3B/RF Baldassare Jauregui, a guy we called up this year who has put up a .350 wOBA. He goes down 0-2, but then slices one into right field for a single. The leadoff man is on, and OF Barend Vis comes to the plate. He's another rookie, who's hit 22 HR this year. Can he be a hero for the second time in this playoff push? He can, as he ropes one into right field. Jauregui makes it to third, and we have runners on the corners with nobody out. OF Devon Walter is up next. He's a grizzled veteran for us, in his fourth year - it hasn't been his best, but he can make up for it right here. Walter isn't the hero tonight, as he grounds out to third, moving the runner to 2nd, but not driving in the runner on third. So now we have two runners in scoring position, the go-ahead run on 2nd, and 2B Cesar Delvecchio comes to the plate. He has 6.3 WAR this year, his first full season in the majors. This is his chance to make a mark. St. Louis doesn't give him the chance, and they walk him to load the bases. Which brings up our #8 hitter, 1B Willie Sanchez. He's a RHB up against a RHP. The infield is in, but Sanchez is a flyball hitter. We have a lefty on the bench, but he's a groundball hitter. We have two switch-hitters on the bench as well, both flyball hitters. We make a move, bringing in OF Manny Sanchez, a guy we brought in via trade who is an absolutely terrible fielder. He's been in AAA for that reason, but got called up to pinch hit. He got called up to do this. On a full count, he hits a grounder to 1B, and they get the runner at home. The bases are loaded with two outs. Our pitcher spot is up, so we call on CF Jose Ramirez, a LHB who's hitting .312/.357/.439 against RHP this year. We don't need to worry about groundball or flyball here. We just need a hit. But it doesn't come. He strikes out looking, and our season is over. 1963 UBA Final Standings Brooklyn goes on to sweep Milwaukee to win the World Series. |
About pitch-by-pitch data on Baseball-Reference.com. Thanks to the tremendous work at Retrosheet.org in addition to general play-by-play info such as 4-3. We also have some info on the sequence of pitches thrown: ball-strike looking-foul-strike swinging, etc... Batting average analysis, more than interesting statistics, a treasure chest of information to help hitters develop a positive plan for each plate appearance. If you think back to most any baseball game that you watched, professional or amateur, you can no doubt recall some hitters who had some terrible looking plate appearances. Quite often they go somewhat similar to this. The hitter steps ... How hard, in miles per hour, a pitch is thrown. Pitch Movement. The movement of a pitch is defined in inches, both in raw numbers and as a measurement against average. Active Spin. Statcast refers to the spin that contributes to movement as Active Spin. Spin Rate. How much spin, in revolutions per minute, a pitch was thrown with. Extension. How far off the mound, in feet, a pitcher releases ... Hitters who took a first-pitch strike instead of swinging took a 21-point hit to their batting average (from .345 to .321). 2. Once a hitter takes that first pitch strike, he won’t return to the same odds of success again until getting to a 2-1 count. 3. Somewhat surprisingly, batting averages don’t change much from a 0-0 pitch (.345) to 1-0 (.344) or 2-0 (.350), counts that would be more ... Batting Splits By Counts ~ Top Ten Batting Average Leaders In American And National Leagues For 2009! Batting splits by counts, a complete year end summary of how the top 10 hitters from the American and National Leagues fared in each of the 12 possible counts hitters can find themselves in. These particular stats have valuable information for coaches and hitters, as they show a definate ... WHILE THE explanation suggested would justify a higher-than-average walk rate and a higher-than-average batting average when there are runners on base, the data suggest that there may be some problems with it. If, in fact, pitchers are more likely to avoid "challenging" the batters until they have fallen behind in the count, we should expect the average number of pitches thrown per batter to ... PERFORMANCE BY PITCH TYPE Breaking down batting average by pitch type is also misleading because fewer fastballs and more off-speed pitches are thrown with two strikes. Therefore, batters will have a higher batting average off fastballs than off-speed pitches--even if they are just as likely to get a hit off of either pitch type. For example, based on our Stanford data set, pitchers throw 66% ... Batting Average by Count and Pitch Type Fact and Fallacy M any baseball coaches, sportswriters, and tele-vision announcers have commented on the fact that batting averages are low with two strikes or high with less than two strikes. For example, Thomas Boswell, in an article he wrote criticizing Ted Williams' theory that you should take the first pitch, noted that "an analysis of nearly 100 of ... The pitch count adjustment factor (generalized for all pitchers) is a statistic that must be measurable per pitch rather than tracked per at-bat or inning, so we cannot use batting average, on-base percentage, or earned run average. The statistic should also be distinct for each outcome because a starting pitcher’s ability to efficiently minimize balls, hits, walks, and runs and productively ... The idea is to put each young pitchers’ IP total in the league-average context of 16.4 pitches per inning (the average rate this year). If a pitcher is well under this P/IP average, he should be ...
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This video is unavailable. Watch Queue Queue. Watch Queue Queue Sign in to make your opinion count. Sign in. 96 2. ... • 3 game episodes per in-game month ... • Batting Camera = Fish Eye 2 • Guess Pitch = Off The logistic map connects fluid convection, neuron firing, the Mandelbrot set and so much more. Fasthosts Techie Test competition is now closed! Learn more a... I included in the answers how to improve bat speed, hitting mechanics, strength and conditioning, and pitch selection. I thought it was very surprising how confidence was the number one thing ... Sign in to make your opinion count. Sign in. ... • 3 game episodes per in-game month ... • Batting Camera = Fish Eye 2 • Guess Pitch = Off • 3 game episodes per in-game month • 1-2 prospect profiles per in-game month • I try not to show the same matchups over and over again as well as mixing up the amount of home and road games ... Get Scouted for NCAA D1, D2, D3, NAIA, or Junior Colleges You go through the college recruiting process only once. Do you feel 100% CONFIDENT you have the BE... • 3 game episodes per in-game month • 1-2 prospect profiles per in-game month • I try not to show the same matchups over and over again as well as mixing up the amount of home and road games ... 4/18/11: Aroldis Chapman pitches one solid inning in relief, including topping 106 MPH on the radar gunCheck out http://m.mlb.com/video for our full archive ... Sign in to make your opinion count. Sign in. ... • 3 game episodes per in-game month ... • Batting Camera = Fish Eye 2 • Guess Pitch = Off
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